Most people who try to time the market are just fooling themselves, says Prof. Kenneth French, explaining what it really takes to beat the market and why doing so is harder than many investors think. … [Read more...] about Kenneth French on the Difficulty of Timing the Market
In the past century, there have been 15 recessions in the US. In 11 of them, stock returns were positive two years after the recession began. Read Dimensional Fund Advisor's article, "Long-Term Investors, Don't Let a Recession Faze You," HERE. … [Read more...] about Long-Term Investors, Don’t Let a Recession Faze You
History shows there's no compelling or dependable way to forecast stock and bond movements. The year 2019 has been a case in point. Read Dimensional Fund Advisor's article, "Hindsight Is 20/20. Foresight Isn't.," HERE. … [Read more...] about Hindsight Is 20/20. Foresight Isn’t.
From Dimensional Fund Advisors The impact of missing just a few of the market's best days can be profound, as this look at a hypothetical investment in the stocks that make up the S&P 500 Index shows. A hypothetical $1,000 turns into $138,908 from 1970 through the end of August 2019. Miss the S&P 500's five best days and that's $90,171. Miss the 25 best days and the return dwindles to $32,763. There's no proven way to time the market—targeting the best days or moving to the … [Read more...] about What Happens When You Fail at Market Timing
Attempting to buy individual stocks or make tactical asset allocation changes at exactly the "right" time presents investors with substantial challenges. Over the course of a summer, it's not unusual for the stock market to be a topic of conversation at barbecues or other social gatherings. A neighbor or relative might ask about which investments are good at the moment. The lure of getting in at the right time or avoiding the next downturn may tempt even disciplined, long-term investors. … [Read more...] about Timing Isn’t Everything